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PMS 530-1

Operations

Large Airtanker (LAT) Risk Assessments

Aircraft | Contracts | Operations | Personnel


SYSTEM:  Large Airtanker, Operations

Sub-System Hazards Pre-Mitigation Mitigation Post-Mitigation

Probability

Severity

Risk Level

Probability

Severity

Risk Level

Management Inefficient use of airtankers may result in unnecessary risk exposure to aircrew and ground personnel (risk vs. gain)

Likely

Critical

Extremely High

Pilots, fire management, dispatchers, aerial supervisors, and line personnel need proper training on effective use of aircraft. Conduct pre- and post-flight briefings; use AARs as mitigation to prevent accidents. Review incident objectives and adjust tactics as necessary. In extreme weather, set aircraft down until conditions improve.

Possible

Moderate

Medium

A sense of urgency may be placed on crew at various points during the mission

Likely

Critical

Extremely High

Address safety vs. urgency at crew in-briefing with contractor and agency employees. Review How to Refuse Risk with crew. Reinforce this throughout operational periods. Ensure adequate flight planning occurs prior to take off.

Unlikely

Critical

Medium

Environment CFIT due to low-level operations

Almost Certain

Catastrophic

Extremely High

Perform high-level recon prior to descending to drop height/low-level environment. Utilize aerial supervision and/or lead plane when available. Manage radio communication (sterile cockpit during drop). Reduce time in low-level environment. Ensure aircraft do not go below minimum drop height.

Unlikely

Critical

Medium

Mountainous terrain

Almost Certain

Catastrophic

Extremely High

Ensure pilots are trained, experienced, and carded/qualified for the mission. Flight crews obtain thorough briefings on local conditions before starting operations.

Possible

Critical

High

Weather: poor visibility, thunderstorms, hot/high DA, turbulence

Almost Certain

Catastrophic

Extremely High

Obtain most current/accurate weather forecast for airport and fire area. Conduct pre-mission risk assessment to determine mission hazards, restrictions, and mitigations. Delay mission until conditions improve. Follow policy on visibility, wind speed updating load calcs, etc. Establish trigger points to stop operations.

Unlikely

Critical

Medium

Airspace Flying in special use areas (MTRs, TFRs, restricted airspace)

Likely

Catastrophic

Extremely High

Ensure dispatchers have contacted the military for clearance into restricted areas and have completed airspace deconfliction. Transmit appropriate squawk codes. Practice see and avoid. Be aware of private aircraft in TFR area. Utilize aerial supervision when available. Refer to local base plan for specific SUA procedures.

Possible

Moderate

Medium

Congested areas and urban interface

Likely

Catastrophic

Extremely High

Comply with congested area policies in NWCG Standards for Aerial Supervision, PMS 505, and ensure that aerial supervision is in place or has been ordered.

Unlikely

Critical

Medium

Retardant Loading Fatigue of aircrew during hot loading and simultaneous fueling and loading operations (less time out of the cockpit)

Almost Certain

Critical

Extremely High

One crewmember should stand up or leave cockpit when possible. Rotate crewmembers when they need food/fuel/water.  Open door (on opposite side of running engines while hot loading) for fresh air. Consider alternating simultaneous fueling/loading operation with normal fueling/loading operation to provide a longer break outside of aircraft for all crewmembers.

Possible

Critical

High

Overfilling and mixing errors

Possible

Critical

High

Ensure all airtankers are loaded using a mass flow meter. Vendor and government personnel review and follow mixing and loading procedures.

Unlikely

Moderate

Medium

 

Download the Word version (docx) of this information and the Risk Assessment Matrix (pdf) to use with the Risk Assessment Worksheet (docx).

 

 

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