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9.4 Range/Variance

Range refers to the difference between the smallest number and the largest number possible for a given quantity.

Example 1 - Philip paces off some fire run distances and gets the following values in chains: 7.5, 6.0, 8.5, 5.5, 9.0. Find the range for the measurements.

Step 1. Arrange the numbers in ascending order (from the smallest to the largest).
5.5, 6.0, 7.5, 8.5, 9.0 

Step 2. Subtract the largest number from the smallest number.
9.0 - 5.5 = 3.5

9.3 Average

The average, or the mean, is the sum of all the numbers divided by the number of terms.

Example 1 - The line production rates for the members of a hand crew were as follows: 8.0 chains per hour, 7.0 chains per hour, 6.0 chains per hour, 7.5 chains per hour, and 7.0 chains per hour. What is the average number of fireline chains constructed per hour?

Step 1. Add all the numbers.
8.0 + 7.0 + 6.0 + 7.5 + 7.0 = 35.5 chains

Step 2. Count the number of terms.
5 terms

8.8 Probability and Number of Ignitions

Probability is the chance that an event will happen and is expressed in terms of percent, or per 100. For example, if there is a 40 percent chance of a spot fire starting, that means that out of 100 glowing embers that fly off, 40 embers will likely start spot fires, and 60 will not. Percent is calculated by changing the percent into a fraction by dividing by 100, then multiplying by the total number of possible situations.

Example 1 - The probability of ignition is 80 percent. How many ignitions are likely to occur if 90 glowing firebrands land on receptive fuel?

8.6 Head, Flank, and Rear Fire Terms

Each side of the fire is described in terms of head, flank, and rear. The head is the fastest spreading part of a fire's perimeter. The head is usually the side toward which the wind is blowing, and will also often be the upslope side of a fire. The head of the fire is of primary interest. 

The right and left flanks describe the sides of the fire. Flanks are perpendicular to the head of the fire. 

The rear of the fire is the side of the fire opposite the head.
 

8.5 Map Spread

Map spread, in inches, is the size of a fire as scaled to a map. See Section 5.3 for more detailed information.

Example 1. For a rate of spread of 4 chains/hour and a projection time of 3 hours, find the map distance for the fire spread. Plot the distance using a tenths ruler for accuracy. The map scale is 1:24,000.

Step 1. Convert the map scale to feet per inch. 24,000 in × 1 foot/12 in = 2000 feet.

Step 2. Convert the spread distance to feet. 12 chains × 66 feet/chain = 792 feet.

8.4 Flame Length & Spread Distance

The flame length is the distance between the flame tip and the midpoint of the flame depth at the base of the flame. Flame length is an observable, measurable indicator of fireline intensity. 
photo illustrating flame length

Spread distance, in chains, is the distance of forward fire spread for a specified amount of time. 

spread distance (SD) = 
rate of spread (ROS) × projection time (PT) 

8.3 Rate of Spread

The rate of spread is in chains per hour (ch/h) and is defined as the speed with which the fire is moving away from the site of origin. Wind, moisture, and slope drive the fire. The flaming zone, or fire head, moves away from the origin quickly with great intensity.

8.2 Midflame Windspeed

Midflame windspeed (MFWS) is defined as the velocity of the winds, in miles per hour (mi/hr), taken at the mid-height of the flames. MFWS will directly affect the direction of movement of the flaming front and is important in fire spread calculations. The midflame windspeed is determined by use of the wind adjustment table, which provides values in terms of fuel overstory exposure and fuel model. 

7.4 Relative Humidity

Relative humidity is the percent of water vapor in the air compared to what would be present if the air were saturated. Fully saturated air is fog. Relative humidity is always expressed as a percentage.

Relative humidity can be determined by measuring the dry bulb and wet bulb temperatures in the field. Using these measured values, the dew point and relative humidity can be determined with the use of tables. These psychrometric tables are valid for specific elevation ranges because relative humidity and dewpoint change with atmospheric pressure, which varies with elevation.

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