Skip to main content

9.6 Standard Deviation

Standard deviation, or variance, is a measure of the closeness of each term to the average (mean). If the terms are all close to the mean or average, then the standard deviation will be small and the mean can be considered an accurate approximation of the distribution.

To calculate to the standard deviation:
1. Compute each deviation as discussed on Section 9.4. 
2. Now, square each deviation and add the results all together. 
3. Finally, divide the calculated total by the number of terms minus one, and take the square root.

Example 1 - Find the standard deviation of this set of fire run distances: 9.0 chains, 12 chains, 11.5 chains, 12 chains, 9.5 chains. 

Step 1. Find the average (see Section 9.3).

9.0 + 12.0 + 11.5 + 12.0 + 9.5 = 54, 54 ÷ 5 = 10.8

Step 2. Find the deviation of each term (see Section 9.4).
9.0 - 10.8 = -1.8
12 - 10.8 = 1.2
11.5 - 10.8 = 0.7
12.0 - 10.8 = 1.2
9.5 - 10.8 = -1.3


Step 3. Square each deviation above.
(-1.8)2 = 3.24
(1.2)2 = 1.44
(0.7)2 = 0.49 
(1.2)2 = 1.44 
(-1.3)2 = 1.69 


Step 4. Add the squared deviations together.
3.24 + 1.44 +0.49 + 1.44 + 1.69 = 8.30 

Step 5. Divide the sum of the squared deviations by the number of terms minus 1.
8.30 / (5-1) = 2.075

Step 6. Find the square root of the difference computed in Step 5.
2.075 = 1.44

The standard deviation is 1.44 chains.

 

NWCG Latest Announcements

NWCG Standards for Wildland Fire Chainsaw Operations, PMS 212, and Next Generation Position Task Book for Basic Faller Are Now Available

Date: April 14, 2025
Questions?  Please contact:
Hazard Tree and Tree Felling Subcommittee

The updated NWCG Standards for Wildland Fire Chainsaw Operations, PMS 212, and NWCG Position Task Book for Basic Faller (FAL3), PMS 311-19 are now available.

The NWCG Standards for Wildland Fire Chainsaw Operations, PMS 212 includes position standards designed to be used in conjunction with the Next Generation Position Task Book (Next Gen PTB). The Next Gen PTB for Basic Faller (FAL3) includes an evaluation guide with suggested rating elements to consider when assessing trainees.

References:

NWCG Standards For Wildland Fire Chainsaw Operations, PMS 212

NWCG Position Task Book for Basic Faller (FAL3), PMS 311-119

NWCG Basic Faller (FAL3)

RMC Memo 25-01: Summary of Updates to Safety Officer Positions

Date: April 9, 2025
Questions?  Please contact:
RMC Member Eric Fransted

The Risk Management Committee (RMC) serves as the position steward for all Safety Officer incident positions and continues to improve position standards, training, and naming conventions. The implementation of Complex Incident Management (CIM) required changes to position titles. RMC collaborated with the NWCG Incident Position Standards Committee (IPSC) to propose and implement these updates. 

References:

RMC Memo 25-01: Summary of Updates to Safety Officer Positions 

NWCG Position Catalog

Updated, NWCG Guide to Wildland Fire Origin and Cause Determination, PMS 412

Date: April 8, 2025
Questions?  Please contact:
Wildland Fire Investigation Subcommittee

PMS 412 provides guidance for wildland fire investigations. This guide outlines recommended procedures, practices, techniques, and methods to promote a systematic approach. The last update to this publication was in 2016.

References:

NWCG Guide to Wildland Fire Origin and Cause Determination PMS 412

Updated NWCG Standards for Airtanker Base Operations, PMS 508

Date: March 31, 2025
Questions?  Please contact:
Airtanker Base Operations Unit

The updated NWCG Standards for Airtanker Base Operations (SABO), PMS 508 standardizes operations and procedures at interagency airtanker bases to ensure safe, efficient, and effective operations in support of interagency goals and objectives.

References:

NWCG Standards for Airtanker Base Operations, PMS 508