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Surface Fire: Vectoring Fire Behavior

Projecting fire spread with cross slope winds utilizes a vectoring process, where the effect of wind and the effect of slope on Rate of Spread (ROS) may be represented by separate vectors that represent both a magnitude and a direction. The resultant vector represents both a direction and magnitude of maximum spread in that direction.

  1. Slope Vector is drawn directly upslope and estimated by calculating ROS with the estimated slope steepness and Zero (0) windspeed for inputs.
  2. Wind Vector is drawn in the direction of the wind and estimated by calculating ROS with the estimated windspeed and Zero (0) slope.
  3. Maximum Spread Vector can be drawn as shown and measured to determine the resultant ROS and spread direction.
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Vectoring Wind and Slope Example - Examples of vector addition to combine the influences of wind and slope on the resulting speed and direction of fire spread.

In example A here, wind is crossing more upslope, resulting in an enhanced maximum ROS.

In example B, wind is crossing more downslope, resulting in a reduced maximum ROS.

With winds blowing downslope (±30°), the difference between the spread rates is the resulting ROS using the direction from the larger vector.

If the vectoring process is completed manually:

  • ROS is determined from the measured maximum spread vector (spread distance) and the time period used to obtain wind and slope vector estimates.
  • Heat Per Unit Area (H/A) is the same for all component vectors.
  • Fireline intensity (FLI) and flame length (FL) can be calculated from ROS and Heat Per Unit Area (HPA) using these calculations.

FLI = (ROS * HPA)/55

FL = .45 * FLI.46

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Updated NWCG Wildland Fire Risk and Complexity Assessment, PMS 236

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Contact: Incident and Position Standards Committee 

The June 2024 update of the NWCG Wildland Fire Risk and Complexity Assessment, PMS 236, is now available to meet the current needs for incident management typing.

The NWCG Wildland Fire Risk and Complexity Assessment should be used to evaluate firefighter safety issues, assess risk, and identify the appropriate incident management organization based on incident complexity. Assessing risk, determining incident complexity, and identifying an appropriate incident management organization is a subjective process based on examining a combination of indicators or factors, which can change over time.

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The 2024 revision of the NWCG Standards for Interagency Incident Business Management, PMS 902 is now available. The uniform application of interagency incident business management standards is critical to interagency fire operations. PMS 902 assists NWCG agencies in constructively working together to provide effective execution of each agency's incident business management program.

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